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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Topeka, KS (TOP)

FXUS63 KTOP 220823

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
323 AM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Early this morning the mid level trough was moving off into Missouri 
with precipitation located south of Garnett moving off to the south. 
At the surface the center of the surface high was located across the 

Today, surface high pressure will build south into eastern Kansas as 
the upper trough moves off to the east while a upper level high 
pressure will be anchored over the Four Corners. Northerly winds 
will usher in drier air today and cooler temperatures are expected 
as well which will make for a pleasant day. Highs are expected to 
top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s which is about 10 degrees 
below normal for late July. Tonight lows will cool into the mid 50s 
near the Nebraska border to the upper 50s elsewhere. 

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Dry weather is expected to continue for the rest of the week and 
into the weekend. A northwest flow pattern will continue into late 
week with the upper high in the west and a trough in the east. The
main belt of the westerlies will remain north of the area into the
weekend. The surface high will remain over the region through 
early Thursday before moving off to the east. A gradual warm up is
expected through the week with temperatures warming back into the
lower 90s for the weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2019

MVFR stratus ceilings directly behind surface front and in the
wake of trailing stratiform rain should shift east of the 
terminals after 8Z MON with stratus ceilings increasing to over 
3000 feet through 13Z MON. Expect VFR conditions for the remainder
of Monday.