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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Tampa Bay Area, FL (TBW)

                            
151 
FXUS62 KTBW 170042
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
842 PM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

.UPDATE...
Convection continuing to develop along boundary collisions this
evening will drift west and eventually dissipate around or shortly
after midnight. The east to southeast flow will return overnight
with partly cloudy skies. For Friday some drier air moves in from
the east which could delay convection onset, but still looks like
isolated to scattered storms will develop in the mid to late
afternoon and early evening. Have tweaked the grids for this
evening and will update the zone forecast shortly.

&&

.AVIATION...
Convection will continue to cause some MVFR/local IFR conditions
and gusty winds up to around 30 knots at TPA...PIE and SRQ for the
through about 03z. Then VFR conditions should prevail through the
rest of the forecast period with the possibility of some more
MVFR/local IFR conditions in convection Friday afternoon and 
evening.

&&

.MARINE...
The general southeast flow at less than 15 knots will continue the
weekend with a shift to onshore near the coast each afternoon as
the sea breeze develops. However, winds and seas will be higher 
near convection, otherwise no headlines are expected.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  77  92  77  91 /  40  40  20  20 
FMY  75  93  75  92 /  50  50  30  40 
GIF  75  94  75  94 /  50  30  20  20 
SRQ  77  92  76  91 /  40  30  10  10 
BKV  74  93  73  93 /  40  40  20  20 
SPG  79  91  79  91 /  40  30  10  10 

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through Saturday evening for 
     Coastal Manatee.

     Beach Hazards Statement through Monday evening for Coastal 
     Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Coastal Sarasota.

Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...69/Close
UPPER AIR...42/Norman
DECISION SUPPORT...18/Fleming