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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Springfield, MO (SGF)

FXUS63 KSGF 200459

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1159 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

Gusty winds between departing low pressure and an incoming ridge 
will diminish this evening. The ridge moves into the western CWA 
tonight, leading to calm winds over the central and west. As a 
result, temperatures will fall into the upper 30s to low 40s 
tonight, coldest over the Plataea. Valleys and wind sheltered areas 
could see lows fall into the middle 30s and some patchy frost may be 
able to develop tonight into early Saturday morning.

Saturday will be quiet with lighter winds, sunny skies, and highs in 
the low 70s. Strongest winds will be over the eastern Ozarks where 
gusts to 20-25 mph are expected in the morning.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

As an upper ridge moves overhead on Sunday, an area of low pressure 
will move closer to the area from the west. This will lead to gusty 
southerly winds of up to 25-35 mph over the central and western CWA 
on Sunday. The warming trend continues Sunday with highs around 80 

Could see some showers over the eastern Ozarks on Monday as a 
disturbance moves through the region, but expect most of the forcing 
to stay out of the area. 

An upper level trough will move into the region on Tuesday, leading 
to a more active period and a few rounds of showers and 
thunderstorms. Models vary on the evolution of the upper trough, 
leading to increased uncertainty after Wednesday. However, at this 
time there isn't a signal for widespread heavy rainfall.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2019

VFR conditions and clear skies will persist into Saturday evening.
Winds will remain below 12 knots and will slowly back from
northwesterly to southerly.


MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ079>081-088>096-