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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Norman, OK (OUN)

                            
000
FXUS64 KOUN 170253
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
953 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2019

.AVIATION...
TAFs 1706/1806...

High clouds will drift across the area overnight with scattered 
late morning/afternoon Cu on Tuesday. Otherwise, VFR conditions 
will prevail with a south to southeast wind. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 612 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2019/ 

AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period with a 
south to southeast wind. 

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 316 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
As has been the case for the last several days, the first half of
this week looks warm/hot and mainly rain-free. Two systems still
look more or less on track to bring rain/storms to the region the
latter half of this week into early next week.

The first system is the disturbance over the western Gulf of 
Mexico. It is still forecast to move slowly across Texas over the 
next several days, and up into Oklahoma late this week.

The second system is an upper-level wave that is expected to move
into the High Plains region around mid- to late-week. This will
drive a surface cold front into the Kansas/Oklahoma area, and the
combination of low-level convergence near the front and upper-
level support should generate showers/thunderstorms while it is in
the vicinity. The lingering front and probable convective outflow
boundaries, combined with the added moisture from the first
system, will likely help maintain a solid chance of rain into next
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  90  71  90 /   0   0   0  10 
Hobart OK         71  92  71  93 /   0   0   0  10 
Wichita Falls TX  71  94  71  93 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           70  92  70  94 /   0   0   0  10 
Ponca City OK     70  89  71  90 /   0   0   0  10 
Durant OK         71  95  71  93 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$