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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Melbourne, FL (MLB)

                            
000
FXUS62 KMLB 150201
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
901 PM EST Mon Jan 14 2019


.UPDATE...
The 00Z RAOB at the Cape (XMR) shows a very dry atmosphere above 
3,000 feet with some low-level moisture present. This moisture is 
most evident across northern Volusia and Lake counties where a 
persistent stratocumulus cloud deck is ongoing. Additional clouds 
are developing along the Volusia/Brevard coast where the marine 
environment is supplying enough moisture for clouds to form. 
GOES-16 Nighttime Microphysics imagery shows the thicker cloud 
deck over Volusia County is having a difficult time moving south 
of I-4, a sign of how dry the atmosphere is over most of central
Florida. 

Otherwise, a strong surface high pressure centered over the 
ArkLaTex region will result in dry conditions across east central
Florida. As the colder airmass moves in, temperatures tonight 
will drop into the low to mid 40s, except in the low 50s along the
Martin County coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
Low-level moisture is allowing for a persistent cloud deck that
may produce occasional MVFR ceilings at KDAB. Current 
observations at KDAB show ceilings are still VFR, but MVFR is 
possible thus have updated the TAF to reflect these conditions 
through next TAF issuance at 06Z. Some additional low clouds may
develop along the coast from KMLB-KSUA, but they will be short
lived. Otherwise, dry air will result in clearing skies overnight
as VFR conditions prevail. 

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight northerly winds to 10-15 knots nearshore and 15 knots 
offshore will keep seas elevated across the offshore waters and 
gulf stream up to 4-5 feet.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  42  62  46  63 /   0   0   0   0 
MCO  44  66  43  68 /   0   0   0   0 
MLB  45  65  48  67 /   0   0   0   0 
VRB  46  66  49  68 /   0   0   0   0 
LEE  45  65  42  66 /   0   0   0   0 
SFB  43  64  42  68 /   0   0   0   0 
ORL  46  66  42  68 /   0   0   0   0 
FPR  46  67  49  69 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Rodriguez/Pendergrast