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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Melbourne, FL (MLB)

FXUS62 KMLB 170134

East Central Florida Forecast Discussion 
National Weather Service Melbourne FL 
933 PM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

Overnight...A few late lighting storms well inland will steadily 
diminish in coverage through midnight. Otherwise, the surface ridge 
axis will nudge north into our northern sections. This will provide 
a southeast flow, but the models show drying working in over the 
Atlantic, so will only carry a small coastal PoP in the south where 
the onshore flow is deepest over the Treasure Coast.


.AVIATION...A few interior terminals will have a chance for a
storm until around midnight. Otherwise, mostly VFR with a small 
chance for a coastal shower NR KFPR-KSUA. It looks drier overall on 
Fri, with a 20-30% chance of storms at interior terminals in the 


Tonight-Friday...Axis of Atlantic high pressure ridge will be just 
north of the waters.  This will provide a southeast wind flow 10 
knots or less, except 10-15 knots offshore in the south.  Seas will 
continue near 2 feet along the coast and up to 3 feet well offshore. 
Some drier air above the surface will move over the waters, so we 
will have only a minimal chance for showers over the southern waters 


No sites along the Saint Johns river are at or above Flood Stage. 
However, Astor, Sanford and Lake Harney forecast points remain in 
Action Stage. Refer to the latest Hydrologic Statements (RVSMLB) for 
the latest stage and forecast information.