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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Melbourne, FL (MLB)

                            
000
FXUS62 KMLB 250219
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1015 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

.DISCUSSION...

A low pressure trough axis extends from SW FL northeast across 
Martin/St Lucie counties and well into the Atlc. Expect a sfc low to 
reform well offshore overnight along the trough axis and underneath 
an upper trough. Will hold onto a small chance for showers along the 
trough axis in Martin and St Lucie counties, otherwise expect most 
shower activity will remain over the Atlantic overnight.

On Sunday, remnant trough axis across the southern counties should 
provide the best chance (50 percent) for scattered showers/storms 
focused on the afternoon. Lower rain chances (30-40 percent) 
elsewhere. 

&&

.AVIATION...
Mainly VFR next 24 hours. Some MVFR CIGs possible early Sunday 
across interior terminals (MCO/SFB) esp as cu field develops 14Z-
16Z. Scattered SHRA and isolated TSRA expected aft 18Z Sunday with 
best chances across the south, near SUA. 


&&

.MARINE...
Tonight/Sunday...E/NE flow across north and central waters will 
become more northerly overnight into early Sunday as low pressure 
develops well offshore (beyond 60 miles).  On Sunday, trailing 
trough axis across the southern waters will keep S/SW winds across 
the far south with NE winds across the remainder of the waters. Seas 
2 ft near shore and 3 ft offshore.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  89  75  90 /  10  30  20  60 
MCO  76  94  77  93 /  10  40  20  70 
MLB  76  90  76  91 /  10  30  20  60 
VRB  74  91  74  90 /  10  40  20  60 
LEE  77  94  77  92 /  10  40  20  70 
SFB  75  93  77  93 /  10  40  20  60 
ORL  77  93  78  93 /  10  40  20  60 
FPR  73  91  74  91 /  20  40  30  60 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

Kelly/Sedlock