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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Melbourne, FL (MLB)

                            
000
FXUS62 KMLB 190045
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
845 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2019

.UPDATE...
Limited convection much of the late afternoon has now given way to 
scattered showers and storms along boundary collisions across the 
interior from near Kissimmee northeast to Edgewater in SE Volusia 
county. 15z Cape sounding showed PWAT lowered to around 1.7 inches 
with low level south-southeast flow and some additional mid level 
drying expected tomorrow. For the reminder of tonight...will 
continue scattered shower/storm chances into late evening near and 
just east of the current broken line of convection which should stay 
mainly north of a Lake Marian to Cocoa line before dissipating. No 
other substantive updates needed with decreasing cloudiness expected 
once convection diminishes. Lows will be in the lower to mid 70s.  

&&

.AVIATION...
Scattered late evening SHRA/TSRA near and just east of the KISM-KSFB 
corridor will slide NE and may approach KTIX vcnty before 
diminishing by 03z. VFR conds overnight. Low level SE/S flow and 
lower convective coverage expected for Monday, below mentionable 
range for now.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight...S-SE winds to 10-13 knots this evening will decrease 
overnight. Seas 1-2 ft with isolated showers across the Atlantic.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  73  90  75  89 /  20  30  30  60 
MCO  74  93  75  91 /  40  30  20  60 
MLB  75  90  77  89 /  10  20  30  60 
VRB  75  90  76  89 /  10  20  30  60 
LEE  75  92  75  92 /  10  40  20  60 
SFB  74  92  75  91 /  20  40  20  60 
ORL  75  93  76  91 /  30  30  20  60 
FPR  74  90  76  89 /  10  20  30  60 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Volkmer/Smith