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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Melbourne, FL (MLB)

                            
000
FXUS62 KMLB 260233
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1030 PM EDT Sun Aug 25 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Low pressure well offshore is producing N/NE wind flow across the 
area, with breezy conditions along the Volusia coast this evening. 
Those winds will slacken shortly as the tighter pressure gradient 
there relaxes. Isolated showers over the Atlantic may cross the 
coast mainly from the Cape northward but most areas will remain dry. 
Lows generally in the mid 70s. 

On Monday, deeper moisture will move in from the SW and steering 
flow will become light westerly. A sea breeze collision is expected 
late in the day into the early evening over EC FL. The primary 
concern aside from lightning strikes will be heavy rainfall due to 
expected slow storm motion. The record rainfall at Vero Beach for 
tomorrow, Aug 26, is just 0.91" from 2012. That could be threatened.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CIGs along the Volusia coast this evening along with a breezy 
NE wind with gusts up to 20 knots. This will relax and VFR conds 
should return by 03Z. Elsewhere, VFR overnight.  On Monday, 
increased moisture will produce a much better chance for TSRA late 
in the day as a result of sea breeze collision over EC FL. Have 
introduced TEMPO groups for TSRA between 21Z-24Z most terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight...North winds 10-15 knots across the northern waters this 
evening will decrease to 5-10 knots overnight. Weaker pressure 
gradient across the southern waters will support only 5 knots with 
wind direction will be generally N/NE backing to the N/NW overnight. 
Seas 1-2 ft across the southern waters and 3-4 feet across the 
northern waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  90  75  90 /  10  40  30  50 
MCO  77  93  76  93 /  10  60  50  60 
MLB  77  91  75  90 /  10  50  40  50 
VRB  75  91  74  91 /  10  60  30  50 
LEE  77  94  75  91 /  20  60  50  50 
SFB  76  93  76  94 /  10  60  40  60 
ORL  77  94  77  93 /  10  60  50  60 
FPR  74  91  74  91 /  10  60  30  50 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

Kelly/Sedlock