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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Melbourne, FL (MLB)

                            
000
FXUS62 KMLB 200248
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
948 PM EST Sat Jan 19 2019

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front is making its way across the FL panhandle early this
evening. Ahead of the main line, showers and thunderstorms were
north of Lake and Volusia counties this evening and are expected 
to reach east central FL later tonight, starting over Lake and 
western Orange/Volusia counties at around midnight. Additional 
storms might develop ahead of the main line and move to the 
northeast. As the night and front progresses to the southeast, 
winds will increase from the northwest becoming breezy, with highs
from the lower 60s to near 70. The front will continue to push to
the southeast and weather conditions will improve by Sunday
morning. Max temp for Sunday was slightly lower 1-2 degrees but no
other changes were necessary for the forecast. Remain weather
alert through the overnight hours. Skies are expected to clear 
for most of east central FL early Sunday evening, providing a 
great view for a total lunar eclipse. This will start at 9:36 pm, 
with total eclipse from 11:41 pm to 12:43 am and ending at 2:48 
am. Keep in mind that temperatures will really drop Sunday night 
to the mid 30s and near 40 for the Treasure Coast. So bundle up
before going out.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conds thru 20/04z. SHRA/TSRA will start approaching the 
northern sites (KLEE-KMCO-KDAB) at around 20/05z, causing 
reduction in visibilities, gusty winds of 30-40 kts and low cigs
for most of the night. Then these impacts will spread towards the
rest of the terminals thru the night. TAFs show the general 
thinking of this timeline and will be amended as necessary. After 
sunrise, weather will clear from north to south, leaving partly 
cloudy skies and winds increasing to near 20 kts with higher gusts from
the west thru the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds have been increasing tonight and buoy 41009 already reported
winds of 23 knots while seas were 3.6 ft. Small Craft Advisories
are in effect for the east central FL waters. Winds will increase
to gale force on Sunday, so mariners should remain in port as
hazardous conditions continue through at least Monday morning.

&&

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory for winds until 10 PM EST Sunday for 
     Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
     Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard 
     County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Sunday for Flagler Beach to 
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to 
     Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to 
     Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Gale Warning from 4 AM to 10 PM EST Sunday for Flagler Beach to 
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to 
     Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to 
     Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

$$

Negron/Cristaldi