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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Melbourne, FL (MLB)

                            
000
FXUS62 KMLB 170108
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
908 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019

.DISCUSSION...
The airmass in the wake of departing Humberto continues to exhibit
a drying trend. The evening sounding at XMR indicated PWAT has
fallen to around an inch and a half with ltst WV imagery 
confirming this regional trend. Spotty showers ascd with earlier 
SB heating will diminish over land by 10 PM with an expected 
tendency of shower reduction over the Atlc waters as well into 
Tuesday. 

from prev disc...
On Tue, a mid-level drier air mass will reach
the FL peninsula from the north, tapping rain chances with a 
slight chance of some development in the afternoon across the 
southern areas of the Treasure Coast. Max temps will reach near 90
along the coast and low 90s for the interior.


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conds all sites overnight and into 17z Tue. 

&&

.MARINE...
Seas mainly ascd with swells from Humberto will remain within 
advisory criteria into Tue. Headlines may be allowed to be 
lowered to caution over some segments, especially nearshore at 
some point during Tue. Depending on wind forecast and reduction
trend to the swell.  

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  87  76  89  75 /  30   0  10  10 
MCO  91  75  93  75 /  20   0  10   0 
MLB  89  77  90  76 /  30  10  10  10 
VRB  90  75  90  76 /  30  10  20  10 
LEE  92  74  94  73 /  20   0  10   0 
SFB  90  74  92  74 /  20   0  10   0 
ORL  90  75  92  75 /  20   0  10   0 
FPR  91  75  90  75 /  30  10  20  10 

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT Wednesday for Flagler Beach 
     to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to 
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to 
     Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-
     60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 
     nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Pendergrast
LONG TERM....Sedlock