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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Midland/Odessa (MAF)

                            
000
FXUS64 KMAF 171925
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
225 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

.DISCUSSION...

The very quiet weather pattern we've seen the last few days will 
become more active as we head toward the end of this week. Broad 
upper troughing to our west will slowly transition east over the 
coming days helping to enhance lift across the area. Isolated 
showers and storms over the higher terrain today will become more 
scattered and spread east by midweek. A more well-defined shortwave 
will deepen the upper trough by late week. This will provide 
slightly more lift over the region to help enhance thunderstorms 
chances late Friday into Saturday. 

Temperatures will remain well above normal into the foreseeable 
future as any fall cold fronts stay well to our north. Long range 
models don't even hint at any fronts through the end of the month. 
This means we will continue to see temperatures into the low to mid 
90's every day will lows in the 60's and 70's. 

Models are beginning to hint at a large storm system developing to 
our west sometime next week. There is much disagreement currently, 
but it appears someone between CA and W TX could see beneficial 
rain if not a flooding potential with this storm. Stay tuned and 
cross your fingers that we might see some rain soon!

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     69  95  70  92 /   0   0   0  20 
Carlsbad                       67  95  69  94 /  10  10  20  30 
Dryden                         72  99  73  98 /   0  10   0  10 
Fort Stockton                  69  95  70  93 /   0  20  10  30 
Guadalupe Pass                 65  86  65  84 /  10  20  30  30 
Hobbs                          66  92  67  90 /  10  10  20  40 
Marfa                          58  87  60  86 /  10  40  20  40 
Midland Intl Airport           70  95  71  93 /   0   0  10  20 
Odessa                         70  96  70  93 /   0  10  10  30 
Wink                           70  97  71  95 /   0  10  10  30 

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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