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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Little Rock, AR (LZK)

                            
000
FXUS64 KLZK 141928
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
228 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Monday
So after a couple of days off, you'd think things would change a
little in terms of the forecast. But, unfortunately, for those of
us waiting on more fall-like weather, that's not the case. 

Predominant weather feature continues (and will continue) to be 
the upper ridge centered over the southern united States. This 
will keep rain chances to a minimum, little in the way of cloud 
cover over us, and above average temperatures. 
&&

.LONG TERM...Monday Night Through Saturday
No major changes to the forecast this afternoon. Continue to 
expect high pressure overhead, which will cause dry and hot 
weather conditions to stick around through the majority of the 
extended period. A slight chance for rain will return to the 
forecast area late next week as an approaching cold front and 
upper level low move eastward from the Pacific Northwest, along 
with embedded impulses drifting through the state along the 
periphery of the H500 high. While uncertainty remains whether or 
not the front will make it into, or even near the state, we might 
at least see the ridge start to breakdown, which could provide a 
chance for this oppressive synoptic pattern to transition into one
that favors cooler and wetter conditions. 

With high pressure remaining the dominate feature this go-round, 
have opted to include high temperatures in the upper 80s and 90s, 
and lows in the upper 60s and 70s.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Other than continued dryness contributing to increased fire
danger, no significant fire weather issues are expected through
the next seven days. 
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     66  93  67  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Camden AR         71  97  71  97 /   0   0   0   0 
Harrison AR       65  90  67  90 /   0   0   0   0 
Hot Springs AR    70  95  71  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Little Rock   AR  70  94  71  95 /   0   0   0   0 
Monticello AR     71  95  71  96 /   0   0   0   0 
Mount Ida AR      67  93  68  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Mountain Home AR  65  92  67  93 /   0   0   0   0 
Newport AR        64  92  67  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Pine Bluff AR     69  95  69  95 /   0   0   0   0 
Russellville AR   67  94  68  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Searcy AR         66  93  68  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Stuttgart AR      68  93  68  94 /   0   0   0   0 
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...57 / Long Term...CROSS