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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Little Rock, AR (LZK)

                            
343 
FXUS64 KLZK 212038
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
238 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday
Well, I wish I had something a little more interesting to discuss
with you. But, instead, I'll just discuss what's going on now. 

Cold front is currently located from north central Arkansas to
between Mena and DeQueen and moving southeastward. No real
appreciable low level moisture is ahead of the boundary, and as
such, no rainfall is expected. The front will clear the area some
time this evening, with high pressure moving into the region. 

Next couple of days should be fairly nice and uneventful, with
lows mainly in the 30s and highs in the 50s to lower 60s. So, in
other words, it should be nice enough to get out and walk off that
Thanksgiving feast you just partook in. Now, if I could just follow
my own advice... 
&&

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday
An upper ridge will be over the southwest U.S. to begin the long 
term period with an upper trough over the northeast. Another weak 
trough will move along the Canadian border Friday and Saturday. High 
pressure takes over the western two thirds of the country Saturday 
night and spreads eastward Sunday and Monday. Another upper trough 
enters the Pacific Northwest Monday night and moves into the Plains 
Tuesday. 

Overall, the extended period will be dry. A cold front will move 
through on Saturday but will be lacking moisture. Otherwise surface 
high pressure will be in control of the Arkansas weather. The cold 
front that moves into the Plains Tuesday will bring the next 
possible chance of rain...after Tuesday. Near normal to slightly 
above normal temperatures are expected through the period. 
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
At this time, it appears there will be little if any appreciable 
chance of rain in the next seven days. Humidity the next couple of
days will bottom out below 40 percent, but moisture will increase
a little bit by the end of this week. Though fuel moisture is 
low, forecast minimum humidity and 20-foot winds are expected to 
remain below critical thresholds into next week. 
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     32  48  28  58 /   0   0   0   0 
Camden AR         39  56  30  58 /  10   0   0   0 
Harrison AR       27  47  30  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Hot Springs AR    37  53  31  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Little Rock   AR  36  51  31  58 /   0   0   0   0 
Monticello AR     39  51  31  56 /  10   0   0   0 
Mount Ida AR      34  53  28  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Mountain Home AR  28  47  28  59 /   0   0   0   0 
Newport AR        32  47  28  56 /   0   0   0   0 
Pine Bluff AR     37  51  30  56 /   0   0   0   0 
Russellville AR   33  51  31  59 /   0   0   0   0 
Searcy AR         33  48  28  57 /   0   0   0   0 
Stuttgart AR      36  50  31  56 /   0   0   0   0 
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...57 / Long Term...51