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Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO)

Issued by Jackson, Mississippi (JAN)

                            
842 
FLUS44 KJAN 250230 AAA
HWOJAN

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
830 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-025>027-034-260230-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Washington-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, north central Mississippi, and
northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...remainder of tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...remainder of tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible tonight, mainly through
midnight. The main risk will be damaging wind gusts, although a 
tornado cannot be ruled out. 

In addition, locally heavy rainfall tonight of 1 to 2 inches could
result in at least a few incidents of flash flooding, considering
the already very saturated state of the ground.

Also, expect gusty southerly winds up to 30 mph to continue
tonight ahead of the cold front pushing in from the northwest. 

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest 
of tonight.

$$

LAZ015-016-023-MSZ030-032-033-036-037-040-042-260230-
Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Clay-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Holmes-
Attala-Issaquena-Yazoo-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Tonight and Sunday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight through Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...remainder of tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible tonight. The main risk will be 
damaging wind gusts, although a tornado cannot be ruled out. 

In addition, locally heavy rainfall tonight of 1 to 2 inches will
bring a risk of flash flooding, especially considering the 
nearly-saturated state of the ground in many areas. Potential for
additional locally heavy downpours by midday to afternoon tomorrow
will extend the possibility of flash flooding through much of the
day tomorrow. 

Also, expect gusty southerly winds up to 30 mph to continue
tonight ahead of the cold front pushing in from the northwest. 

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) 
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

Flooding will remain possible for much of the region into Sunday
night as the potentially for locally heavy rain continues.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest 
of tonight.

$$

MSZ028-029-260230-
Montgomery-Webster-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...remainder of tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible tonight. The main risk will be 
damaging wind gusts, although a tornado cannot be ruled out. 

In addition, locally heavy rainfall tonight of 1 to 2 inches will
bring a risk of flash flooding, especially considering the 
nearly-saturated state of the ground in many areas. 

Also, expect gusty southerly winds up to 30 mph to continue
tonight ahead of the cold front pushing in from the northwest. 

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png) 
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest 
of tonight.

$$

LAZ024>026-MSZ031-038-039-043>057-059>063-260230-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Lowndes-Winston-Noxubee-Madison MS-
Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-
Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-Lawrence-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, south
central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Tonight and Sunday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight through Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...remainder of tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible tonight. The main risk
will be damaging wind gusts.

In addition, locally heavy rainfall tonight of 1 to 2 inches will
bring a risk of flash flooding, especially considering the 
nearly-saturated state of the ground in many areas. Potential for
additional locally heavy downpours by midday to afternoon tomorrow
will extend the possibility of flash flooding through much of the
day tomorrow. 

Also, expect gusty southerly winds up to 30 mph to continue
tonight ahead of the cold front pushing in from the northwest. 

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) 
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

Flooding will remain possible for much of the region into Sunday
night as the potentially for locally heavy rain continues.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest 
of tonight.

$$

LAZ008-009-MSZ035-041-260230-
West Carroll-East Carroll-Humphreys-Sharkey-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Tonight and Sunday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Mainly remainder of tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...remainder of tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight

Severe thunderstorms are possible tonight. The main risk will be 
damaging wind gusts, although a tornado cannot be ruled out. 

In addition, locally heavy rainfall tonight of 1 to 2 inches will
bring a risk of flash flooding, especially tonight considering 
the nearly-saturated state of the ground in many areas. Potential 
for additional locally heavy downpours by midday to afternoon 
tomorrow will extend the possibility of flash flooding through 
much of the day tomorrow. 

Also, expect gusty southerly winds up to 30 mph to continue
tonight ahead of the cold front pushing in from the northwest. 

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) 
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

Flooding will remain possible for much of the region into Sunday
night as the potentially for locally heavy rain continues.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest 
of tonight.

$$

MSZ058-064>066-072>074-260230-
Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Tonight and Sunday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...remainder of tonight through Sunday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight through Sunday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible tonight and again
during the midday and afternoon hours tomorrow. The main risk 
will be damaging wind gusts.

In addition, locally heavy rainfall tonight of 1 to 2 inches will
bring a risk of flash flooding, especially considering the 
nearly-saturated state of the ground in many areas. Potential for
additional locally heavy downpours by midday to afternoon tomorrow
will extend the possibility of flash flooding through much of the
day tomorrow. 

Also, expect gusty southerly winds up to 30 mph to continue
tonight ahead of the cold front pushing in from the northwest. 

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png) 
(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday night through Friday

Flooding will remain possible for much of the region into Sunday
night as the potentially for locally heavy rain continues.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of 
tonight through Sunday.

$$

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Extreme...Sustained winds 50 mph or greater or wind gusts 65 mph
 or greater.
Significant...Sustained winds 40-49 mph or wind gusts 58-64 mph.
Elevated...Sustained winds 30-39 mph or wind gusts 45-57 mph.
Limited...Sustained winds 20-29 mph or wind gusts 30 to 44 mph.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html