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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Houston/Galveston, TX (HGX)

                            
000
FXUS64 KHGX 131734
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1234 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019

.AVIATION...
Mainly VFR conditions are expected for the next 24+ hours. There
will probably be a few isolated shra/tstms in the area this
afternoon, but confidence of one impacting individual TAF sites is
low, so won't include the mention in the 18z TAFS -- will just 
opt for short fuse amendments if necessary.  47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1048 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2019/ 
12z soundings show PW values between 1.60 and 1.80 inches and 
this is supported by satellite. 12z LCH sounding show some weak 
capping in 760 mb to 560 mb layer but the CRP sounding did not 
show much of a cap. Convective temperatures are near 90 and this 
threshold looks to be in reach but profile soundings look pretty 
dry aloft. Should start to see some isolated shra/tsra developing 
with the higher rain chances over the S-SW zones. Temperatures 
look a touch warm and made some minor tweaks to both the hourly 
and MaxT grids. Rest of the forecast looks good to go. 43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      74  99  73  98  74 /   0   0   0  10  10 
Houston (IAH)              74  97  75  95  75 /   0  10  10  20  30 
Galveston (GLS)            81  93  80  92  80 /  10  10  40  30  50 

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$