000 FXUS64 KHGX 200827 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 327 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019 .DISCUSSION... Another dry, sunny day is in the works...albeit with much less wind than we had yesterday. Surface high pressure moves overhead then to the east today allowing for onshore winds to resume. Humidity, overnight lows and cloud cover will gradually increase into early next week. Low rain chances will re-enter the forecast Tuesday. Latest models are in fairly good agreement in regards to our next wx system (and a bit more progressive in nature compared to past days). Trough currently situated off the Pacific NW will dig into the Desert SW and northern Mexico then swing ewd across Tx Wednesday and Thursday. A long fetch of southeast winds will drive PW's upward into the 1.6-1.9" range in advance. Looking for a large area of showers/tstms to develop across cntl Tx during the day Wed as large scale lift increases and eventually track ese along a frontal boundary across the CWA late Wednesday and Wednesday night. Overall setup looks somewhat favorable for some heavy rainfall in or near the region...though it's still too early to reliably pin down the details & most favorable locations. Precip should taper off Thursday as the system exits to the east. 47 && MARINE... With high pressure over the region set to begin moving off to the east today, we should be seeing these light offshore winds across the coastal waters slowly veer to the S/SE by this afternoon. Not expecting any issues for the rest of the weekend even as this on- shore flow begins to strengthen Sun/Mon. This tightening pressure gradient (in response to the next system moving into the Central/ Southern Plains) should produce SCEC/SCA conditions over the near and offshore waters as early as Mon afternoon. These elevated sea heights/winds are expected to prevail off and on through mid week. All of this will be setting the stage for the passage of the next cold front...currently forecast to move off the coast Thurs morn- ing (accompanied by scattered showers/thunderstorms). A generally moderate offshore flow in the wake of this front will be in place the rest of the week. 41 && AVIATION... No issues expected with the 12Z TAFS even with the return of S/SE winds this afternoon. Moisture will be slow to return to the area given how far into the Gulf this dry air mass has moved. VFR con- ditions to prevail. 41 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 78 57 83 63 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 79 57 81 64 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 74 65 76 68 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$