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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Houston/Galveston, TX (HGX)

                            
000
FXUS64 KHGX 220438
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1138 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

AVIATION...
VFR conditions should prevail thru most of the period. Exceptions,
similar to the past 24 hours, will be some intermittent MVFR cigs
mixed in during the late night thru mid morning hours. Expect sct 
precip development offshore prior to sunrise to eventually spread
inland with heating during the mid to late morning hours and
continue into the afternoon. Activity should wane toward sunset
with the loss of heating. 47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 918 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019/ 
UPDATE... 
No major updates this evening with partially cloudy skies briefly
becoming mostly overcast across many interior counties around and
shortly after sunrise as the lower levels saturate up. There is a
greater than a coin toss chance that the Brazos River Valley will
awake to cloudy skies. Resident moisture is still high enough to 
not only create at least partly cloudy Sunday skies but keep 
slight to low end early day shower and afternoon storm chances 
intact. A mid to late morning break in cloud cover should allow 
many to warm into the upper 80s by Noon. Progged mid 80 F 
convective temperatures will easily be met by late morning. Thus, 
early day southern county/maritime shower activity will likely 
blossom into more widespread afternoon SHRA or -TSRA behavior 
across the central and northern forecast area. Precipitation 
coverage will probably be more than today but less than Friday, or
a third of the area could run into a quick hitting shower or 
storm. Due to continued high regional moisture, moderate afternoon
southeasterlies and passing periodic rain, maximum temperatures 
will again reach or slightly exceed the 90 F degree mark, middle 
90s over the far western edge of the CWA. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      73  95  75  93  73 /  10  10  10  20  20 
Houston (IAH)              76  91  74  91  74 /  10  30  20  30  10 
Galveston (GLS)            82  89  81  90  81 /  10  20  10  30  10 

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 10 AM CDT Sunday for 
     the following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to 
     Matagorda Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from 
     High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...
     Matagorda Bay...Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship 
     Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High Island to 
     Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$