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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO (EAX)

                            
000
FXUS63 KEAX 180829
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
329 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

.Discussion...
Issued at 329 AM CDT THU APR 18 2019

Message of the day: Showers will continue exiting the area this 
morning, with pretty nice spring weather expected for the next 
few days.

The cold front has pushed through the area, dropping temperatures in 
the 40s and low 50s this morning. The upper level trough 
providing the support for last night's storms will slowly push 
through the Midwest today, helping us hang on to some of the cloud
cover. This and the cold air advection behind the cold front will
keep temperatures this afternoon in the 50s to low 60s. Patchy 
light rain is also possible in the afternoon hours today, mainly 
in northwest MO and northeast KS, as the main upper level trough 
and an 850 mb temperature gradient moves through.

Friday and Saturday, ridging will move into the central U.S. This 
will give us clear skies with temperatures in the 60s on Friday and 
70s on Saturday. Temperatures Sunday will also be in the 70s, but 
cloud cover will start moving into the area as a surface low and 
upper level shortwave trough begin to approach the region. These 
features will also bring shower and storm chances back to the area 
Sunday night. Rain chances will then stick around through the 
beginning of next week as the GFS and ECMWF both depict the cold 
front stalling across MO and KS with multiple shortwave troughs 
moving through the Midwest.


&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 250 AM CDT THU APR 18 2019

Showers and storms will continue moving east, exiting the area by
sunrise. A cold front moved through overnight, keeping winds up
and shifting them to the northwest. Clouds will stick around for
much of the day today, though we should stay VFR. We could see
some patchy drizzle or light rain during the afternoon hours,
mainly in western MO/easter KS. The rest of the TAF period should
be quiet.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Grana
Aviation...Grana