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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO (EAX)

                            
000
FXUS63 KEAX 170924
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
424 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.Discussion...
Issued at 424 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019

This weekend's tranquil weather pattern is expected to extend 
into Monday. High pressure ridging from the Dakotas southeast into
the Mississippi Valley will ensure continued sunny skies, light 
winds, and highs in the upper 40s and low 50s. Otherwise, many 
locations along the Missouri River remain in minor to moderate 
flood stage this morning. Moderate to major flood levels are still
anticipated to occur for much of this week. 

The next chance of rain arrives Tuesday morning as sheared upper
level trough drops south from the Dakotas. Initially, precipitation
may start as light snow or light rain/snow mix for the northern 
counties, but then quickly change over to an all rain event by mid
morning. Rain chances will persist through out much of Tuesday 
and into the early morning hours of Wednesday. The latest model 
runs are better agreement on precipitation timing, however some
models are trending towards higher precipitation amounts. Current
forecast has rain totals .25" - .50" with highest amounts over SE
Nebraska and NW Missouri. Given the current flooding conditions, 
this situation will be closely watched. Later in the week, high 
amplitude ridge moves in over the central US later with near 
normal to above normal temperatures. 

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1132 PM CDT SAT MAR 16 2019

VFR conditions with northwest winds under 10 MPH to prevail over
the next 24 hours. 


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Leighton/Otto
Aviation...Cutter