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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO (EAX)

                            
018 
FXUS63 KEAX 252324
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
624 PM CDT Mon Mar 25 2019

.Discussion...
Issued at 320 PM CDT MON MAR 25 2019

Mostly cloudy skies have gradually been clearing as the late morning 
and afternoon has progressed, with more clearing than anticipated 
occurring. This has aided in temperatures reaching the middle 50s by 
mid-afternoon. Upstream stratus may tend to fill back into the area 
later this evening and tonight, with clearing eventually taking 
place during the day on Tuesday. Southerly winds return on Tuesday
as upper ridging begins to build into the High Plains, with 
slightly warmer afternoon temperatures in the 50s to near 60. The 
quiet and dry weather will continue into Wednesday as the upper 
ridge shifts east into the central CONUS. Temperatures will 
respond, with highs well-above normal, potentially reaching the 
lower 70s. These would be the warmest high temperatures since 
late-October. 

Active weather returns by Thursday as broad southwesterly flow 
parallels a quasi-stationary frontal boundary projected to reside 
over/near the forecast area. The end result will be periodic shower 
and thunderstorm chances Thursday into early Saturday. Storm total 
precipitation is expected to average 1.50-2" along and north of the 
Interstate 70 corridor, which will potentially cause another round 
of minor to moderate river flooding late in the week. Cooler weather 
advects back into the region late in the weekend, with low 
temperatures potentially falling below freezing Sunday morning.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday Evening)
Issued at 625 PM CDT MON MAR 25 2019

VFR conditions are likely through the forecast. But there may be
some MVFR ceilings build southward and/or redevelop over the area.
So have included a scattered group at 2500 ft overnight to handle
this uncertainty. Otherwise, winds should be light and variable
overnight, trending to the southeast at 5 to 10 kts tomorrow
morning.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Blair
Aviation...CDB