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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO (EAX)

FXUS63 KEAX 231057

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
557 AM CDT Tue Jul 23 2019

Issued at 252 AM CDT TUE JUL 23 2019

A relatively quiet weather pattern is expected to prevail until the 
end of the forecast period. Very comfortable temperatures for the 
end of July's standards will prevail today through Thursday. This 
will be thanks to the region residing between upper level troughing 
to the east and upper level ridging to the west. This will leave the 
area under cool northerly flow aloft. Couple that with a surface 
ridge of high pressure building into the area today and you get high 
temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s. With similar 
conditions expected for Wednesday highs again will be in the lower 
80s. Thursday, the surface ridge of high pressure will begin to 
shift off to the east and weak WAA will get underway. Couple that 
with height rises across the area and temperatures will rise a few 
degrees into the mid 80s. Friday, WAA will continue across the area 
with further height rises allowing temperatures to rise into the mid 
to upper 80s. By Saturday, the upper level pattern begins to shift 
with quasi-zonal flow aloft over much of the northern half of the 
CONUS. A series of mid-level shortwave troughs are expected to move 
across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. This will slowly sag a 
cold front toward the area that models suggest will bring 
thunderstorms to the area some time in the Sunday night to Monday 
night time frame. Temperatures for the weekend will be near normal 
for the end of July with highs in the upper 80s to near 90 before 
cooling a few degrees with storms on Monday.


.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 557 AM CDT TUE JUL 23 2019

VFR conds will prevail thru the pd with just sct diurnal cu around
4kft dvlpg around 17Z and dmshg aft 00Z. Otrw expect clr skies.
Winds will be out of the N btn 5-10kts until this evening when
winds will become lgt and vrb.