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Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley, TX (BRO)

                            
000
FXUS64 KBRO 260856
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
356 AM CDT Sat May 26 2018

.SHORT TERM (Today through Sunday): Deep South Texas and the Rio 
Grande Valley is expected to remain sandwiched between amplifying 
500 mb high pressure over western Mexico and the Lone Star State, 
and strengthening closed 500 mb low pressure over the eastern Gulf 
of Mexico. The resultant mid-level flow out of the northwest to 
north will produce dry weather across the BRO CWFA during the 
forecast period. Organizing Subtropical Storm Alberto, moving in 
tandem with the aforementioned closed 500 mb low, will help to 
produce well above normal temperatures, with record highs possible 
today and tomorrow, especially at HRL and MFE. 


.LONG TERM (Sunday Night through Friday):
Massive and oppressive midlevel ridge will dominate the weather
for the long term, with nary a chance of rain in sight. Subsidence
with the ridge will keep temperatures soaring above 100 for most
areas through the next week. 

&&

.MARINE:
Now through Sunday: Buoy 42020 reported south-southeast winds 
around 12 knots gusting to around 14 knots with seas slightly 
under 2.5 feet with a period of 7 seconds at 250 CDT/750 UTC. 
Light to moderate winds and low to moderate seas continue to be 
expected along the Lower Texas Coast due to a weak pressure 
gradient that will persist over the western Gulf of Mexico. 
Slowly-organizing Subtropical Storm Alberto will move in the 
general direction of the panhandle of Florida and remain no threat
to the Lower Texas Coast.

Monday through Wednesday: Surface high pressure remains in control
along the northwest Gulf, keeping winds light. Light winds will
keep wave heights low, generally 3 feet or less through the
upcoming week.

 &&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  91  75  93  75 /   0   0   0   0 
BROWNSVILLE          95  76  98  75 /   0   0   0   0 
HARLINGEN            97  75 100  73 /   0   0   0   0 
MCALLEN             100  76 103  75 /   0   0   0   0 
RIO GRANDE CITY     101  75 104  74 /   0   0   0   0 
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   84  78  86  78 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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