Preview of NWS' New Version of Forecast
This preview is not operational and should not be used for support decisions.

Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

Issued by Amarillo, TX (AMA)

                            
598 
FXUS64 KAMA 252115
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
415 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Rapidly developing convection over southeast sections at this time
may become strong to severe through the early evening.  

Otherwise, few changes to the forecast.  Very warm conditions
expected daily.  Saturday not expected to be quite as hot as 
earlier thought, as southeast winds expected to prevail.  This 
will position the dryline over the Panhandles Saturday afternoon, 
but airmass expected to be sufficiently capped, due partly to mid-
level ridge making its way across the forecast area, no 
thunderstorms are forecast.  

By Sunday afternoon, increasingly  diffluent mid-level flow and 
adequate instability warrants pops over mainly western 3/4 of 
area.  Thunderstorms possible Sunday night across mainly northern
sections as southeast low-level jet develops.  Monday afternoon 
and Monday night expected to sufficiently unstable for 
thunderstorms, mainly over the eastern 2/3 of the area.  Dryline 
could also support thunder in eastern sections on Tuesday. 
Wednesday and Wednesday night pops offered by Blend over northern 
sections seem too high and have been limited to 30 percent.
 
Cockrell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                63  98  66  96  66 /   0   5   0  20  10 
Beaver OK                  63  99  67  98  68 /   5   0   0  20  20 
Boise City OK              57  96  62  94  60 /   5   0   0  30  20 
Borger TX                  65  99  69  99  69 /   0   5   0  20  20 
Boys Ranch TX              62  99  65  98  65 /   0   0   0  30  20 
Canyon TX                  62  99  65  97  65 /   0   0   0  20  10 
Clarendon TX               66  97  66  97  68 /  10   5   0  10   5 
Dalhart TX                 57  97  61  95  60 /   5   0   0  30  20 
Guymon OK                  60  99  65  96  65 /   0   0   0  30  20 
Hereford TX                61  99  65  97  65 /   0   0   0  20  10 
Lipscomb TX                64  97  68  98  69 /  10   0   0  10  20 
Pampa TX                   64  95  66  95  67 /   0   0   0  20  10 
Shamrock TX                66  97  68  97  70 /  20   0   0   5   5 
Wellington TX              66  99  68  99  70 /  20   0   0   5   5 

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

88/03